Registered: Sep 2020
Location: Tenn -> Mich
Posts: 2630

Each day I'm going to take some time to look into the 96 TOC Finalists in some capacity. I'll start out with the breed breakdown. Pretty simple.



- The Black and Tans hold steady with three finalists matching their second highest total in the history of the event, falling short of 2022's total of four. 3 of 46 entered into the Regions advanced which is 6.5%. Percent chance to win? 3.1%

- American Leopard Hounds failed to advance any to the Finals though one of the two entered into the Regions was able to secure a cast win, it wasn't enough to advance. The last and only Leopard to advance was GRNITECH McNeely's Juice in 2021.

- The Blueticks did not have their best luck at the Regions this past weekend, matching a program low for the breed, with four advancing. Their most came back in 2023 with seven. 4 of the 82 Blueticks entered into the Regions advancing leaves them with a 4.8% rate. Which puts the chance of one of the four remaining Blueticks winning the hunt next weekend at 4.2%.

- The English breed has held steady in this event, advancing 8.6 hounds to the finals per year. This year eight advanced holding true to that number. And with 109 being entered into the Regions, 8 advancing would equate to a 7.3% rate. The chance of the English breed bringing home the top prize? 8.3%

- Surprisingly no Plotts have advanced to the TOC Finals in the five year history of the event. With only six being entered into the Regions, the chances were low and although there was a Plott cast winner, it wasn't enough to advance.

- On average, two Redbones advance to the Finals each year. This year only one was able to achieve the feat. With 19 entered into the Regions, that puts the Redbones at a 5.3% success rate. A 1 out of 96 chance in the Finals gives the Redbone a 1.04 chance of winning.

- 75 Treeing Walkers advance to this year's TOC Finals and although that is a big number in comparison, that is a lowest for the breed since 2022 when 68 advanced. With 634 entered in the Regions, the 75 advancing did give the Walkers a 11.8% success rate which trailed only the X-Breds. And with history showing that nothing other than a Walker has won the TOC Finals, and with 75 in the Finals this year, the Treeing Walkers have a 78% chance to do it again.

- X-Breds saw the biggest climb this year with five hounds advancing to the Finals besting their previous high of three which they did the past two years. With only 24 entered in the Regions, five advancing gives the X-Breds a 20.8% success rate. Their chance at winning the whole thing now sits at 5.2%.

Come back tomorrow for more information.

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Registered: Sep 2020
Location: Tenn -> Mich
Posts: 2630

Today, let's take a look at the sex breakdown of the 96 TOC Finalists.



This year's split is 68 males compared to 28 females. This is significant because this is the most lopsided the male to female ratio has been in the short history of the event. As a matter of fact, the number of female finalists has dropped each year over the history of the program since it went to 96 dogs in Year 2. From 39 in 2022, to 37 in 2023, to 36 in 2024, down to the 28 this year.

So, what gives? I don't know. Call it a coincidence. I think it has as much to do with females coming into season this time of year more so than some of the other variables going through my head. It's not like they didn't fare well in the Regions. With 345 entered and a couple dozen coming into season that we know, their advancement rate was around 8.5%. The males advancement rate sat around 11.8% for reference with their 576 entries.

I know it's not the quality of females. Let's just take a look at the World Championship in September for comparison sake. In the past four years where TOC and the World ran in the same year, the numbers are quite different. Sex Breakdown of Final Casts: TOC - 11 males, 2 females, World - 8 males, 5 females. Let us not forget, the past three UKC Coonhound World Champions were all females while at the same time, there has not been a female TOC winner to date. Interesting.

So next weekend, who will it be? There is a 70.8% chance of it being a male winner with a 29.2% chance of it being a female if none come into season before Round 1. Time will tell.

See you back here tomorrow.

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Registered: Sep 2020
Location: Tenn -> Mich
Posts: 2630

In today's deep dive into the Top 96 for TOC Finals, let's look at the state breakdown.



In the Regions, 33 states were represented with at least one entry. That number has now been whittled down to 23 states for the Finals. With the Region format, you can usually count on a good variety of states being represented. Let's see how each state fared at the Finals as far as advancement rates go.

- Alabama 11.76%, Arkansas 6.45%, Georgia 15.63%, Illinois 10.34%, Indiana 11.76%, Iowa 12.5%, Kansas 11.11%, Kentucky 8.79%, Michigan 9.52%, Minnesota 16.67%, Mississippi 9.52%, Missouri 13.56%, North Carolina 6.98%, Ohio 15%, Oklahoma 10%, Pennsylvania 7.69%, South Carolina 15.22%, Tennessee 7.54%, Texas 6.9%, Vermont 33.33%, Virginia 12%, West Virginia 6.9%, Wisconsin 16.67% - CA, CT, FL, LA, ME, MD, MA, NE, NY, and SD all failed to produce a finalist.

Now of the 23 states left, how do the percentages to win the whole thing look?
- Indiana and Ohio both have a 12.5% chance of winning
- Kentucky and Missouri both have a 8.33% chance of winning
- South Carolina has 7.29% chance of winning
- Georgia and Iowa both have a 5.2% chance of winning
- Alabama, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and West Virginia all have a 4.17% chance of winning
- Illinois, North Carolina, and Virginia all have a 3.13% chance of winning
- Arkansas, Michigan, Mississippi, Pennsylvania, and Texas all have a 2.08% chance of winning
- Kansas, Minnesota, Vermont, and Wisconsin all have a 1.04% chance of winning

Wonder in which state the future winner resides?

Last edited by Trevor / UKC on 04-08-2025 at 05:53 PM

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Registered: Sep 2020
Location: Tenn -> Mich
Posts: 2630

Today, let's take a look at the sex breakdown of the 96 TOC Finalists.



This year's split is 68 males compared to 28 females. This is significant because this is the most lopsided the male to female ratio has been in the short history of the event. As a matter of fact, the number of female finalists has dropped each year over the history of the program since it went to 96 dogs in Year 2. From 39 in 2022, to 37 in 2023, to 36 in 2024, down to the 28 this year.

So, what gives? I don't know. Call it a coincidence. I think it has as much to do with females coming into season this time of year more than some of the other variables going through my head. It's not like they didn't fare well in the Regions. With 345 entered and a couple dozen coming into season that we know, their advancement rate was around 8.5%. The males advancement rate sat around 11.8% for reference with their 576 entries.

I know it's not the quality of females. Let's just take a look at the World Championship in September for comparison sake. In the past four years where TOC and the World ran in the same year, the numbers are quite different. Sex Breakdown of Final Casts: TOC - 11 males vs 2 females, World - 8 males vs 5 females. Let us not forget, the past three UKC Coonhound World Champions were all females while at the same time, there has not been a female TOC winner to date. Interesting.

So next weekend, who will it be? There is a 70.8% chance of it being a male winner with a 29.2% chance of it being a female if none come into season before Round 1. Time will tell. See you back here tomorrow.

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Registered: Sep 2020
Location: Tenn -> Mich
Posts: 2630

Today, let's take a look at the sex breakdown of the 96 TOC Finalists.



This year's split is 68 males compared to 28 females. This is significant because this is the most lopsided the male to female ratio has been in the short history of the event. As a matter of fact, the number of female finalists has dropped each year over the history of the program since it went to 96 dogs in Year 2. From 39 in 2022, to 37 in 2023, to 36 in 2024, down to the 28 this year.

So, what gives? I don't know. Call it a coincidence. I think it has as much to do with females coming into season this time of year more than some of the other variables going through my head. It's not like they didn't fare well in the Regions. With 345 entered and a couple dozen coming into season that we know, their advancement rate was around 8.5%. The males advancement rate sat around 11.8% for reference with their 576 entries.

I know it's not the quality of females. Let's just take a look at the World Championship in September for comparison sake. In the past four years where TOC and the World ran in the same year, the numbers are quite different. Sex Breakdown of Final Casts: TOC - 11 males vs 2 females, World - 8 males vs 5 females. Let us not forget, the past three UKC Coonhound World Champions were all females while at the same time, there has not been a female TOC winner to date. Interesting.

So next weekend, who will it be? There is a 70.8% chance of it being a male winner with a 29.2% chance of it being a female if none come into season before Round 1. Time will tell. See you back here tomorrow.

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Registered: Sep 2020
Location: Tenn -> Mich
Posts: 2630

Today, let's take a look at the sex breakdown of the 96 TOC Finalists.



This year's split is 68 males compared to 28 females. This is significant because this is the most lopsided the male to female ratio has been in the short history of the event. As a matter of fact, the number of female finalists has dropped each year over the history of the program since it went to 96 dogs in Year 2. From 39 in 2022, to 37 in 2023, to 36 in 2024, down to the 28 this year.

So, what gives? I don't know. Call it a coincidence. I think it has as much to do with females coming into season this time of year more than some of the other variables going through my head. It's not like they didn't fare well in the Regions. With 345 entered and a couple dozen coming into season that we know, their advancement rate was around 8.5%. The males advancement rate sat around 11.8% for reference with their 576 entries.

I know it's not the quality of females. Let's just take a look at the World Championship in September for comparison sake. In the past four years where TOC and the World ran in the same year, the numbers are quite different. Sex Breakdown of Final Casts: TOC - 11 males vs 2 females, World - 8 males vs 5 females. Let us not forget, the past three UKC Coonhound World Champions were all females while at the same time, there has not been a female TOC winner to date. Interesting.

So next weekend, who will it be? There is a 70.8% chance of it being a male winner with a 29.2% chance of it being a female if none come into season before Round 1. Time will tell. See you back here tomorrow.

Report this post to a moderator | IP: Logged

Registered: Sep 2020
Location: Tenn -> Mich
Posts: 2630

Today, let's take a look at the sex breakdown of the 96 TOC Finalists.



This year's split is 68 males compared to 28 females. This is significant because this is the most lopsided the male to female ratio has been in the short history of the event. As a matter of fact, the number of female finalists has dropped each year over the history of the program since it went to 96 dogs in Year 2. From 39 in 2022, to 37 in 2023, to 36 in 2024, down to the 28 this year.

So, what gives? I don't know. Call it a coincidence. I think it has as much to do with females coming into season this time of year more than some of the other variables going through my head. It's not like they didn't fare well in the Regions. With 345 entered and a couple dozen coming into season that we know, their advancement rate was around 8.5%. The males advancement rate sat around 11.8% for reference with their 576 entries.

I know it's not the quality of females. Let's just take a look at the World Championship in September for comparison sake. In the past four years where TOC and the World ran in the same year, the numbers are quite different. Sex Breakdown of Final Casts: TOC - 11 males vs 2 females, World - 8 males vs 5 females. Let us not forget, the past three UKC Coonhound World Champions were all females while at the same time, there has not been a female TOC winner to date. Interesting.

So next weekend, who will it be? There is a 70.8% chance of it being a male winner with a 29.2% chance of it being a female if none come into season before Round 1. Time will tell. See you back here tomorrow.

Report this post to a moderator | IP: Logged

Registered: Sep 2020
Location: Tenn -> Mich
Posts: 2630

Today, let's take a look at the sex breakdown of the 96 TOC Finalists.



This year's split is 68 males compared to 28 females. This is significant because this is the most lopsided the male to female ratio has been in the short history of the event. As a matter of fact, the number of female finalists has dropped each year over the history of the program since it went to 96 dogs in Year 2. From 39 in 2022, to 37 in 2023, to 36 in 2024, down to the 28 this year.

So, what gives? I don't know. Call it a coincidence. I think it has as much to do with females coming into season this time of year more than some of the other variables going through my head. It's not like they didn't fare well in the Regions. With 345 entered and a couple dozen coming into season that we know, their advancement rate was around 8.5%. The males advancement rate sat around 11.8% for reference with their 576 entries.

I know it's not the quality of females. Let's just take a look at the World Championship in September for comparison sake. In the past four years where TOC and the World ran in the same year, the numbers are quite different. Sex Breakdown of Final Casts: TOC - 11 males vs 2 females, World - 8 males vs 5 females. Let us not forget, the past three UKC Coonhound World Champions were all females while at the same time, there has not been a female TOC winner to date. Interesting.

So next weekend, who will it be? There is a 70.8% chance of it being a male winner with a 29.2% chance of it being a female if none come into season before Round 1. Time will tell. See you back here tomorrow.

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